美国前国家安全顾问称,美国宁愿摧毁台湾的半导体工厂,也不愿让它们落入中国手中

If China invades Taiwan, the US would destroy the island's semiconductor factories to avoid China from taking them over, a former national security advisor told Semafor.

Robert O'Brien, who served as national security advisor under former President Donald Trump, said the US "and its allies are never going to let those factories fall into Chinese hands."

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company is the world's largest chipmaker, making up an estimated 90% of the market for advanced processors. The company produces chips for most devices and equipment like phones and cars that are used every day. More advanced chips produced by the manufacturer are used in highly advanced technology like machine learning and guided missiles.

If China were to take control of these factories in the case of an invasion, the country would be "like the new OPEC of silicon chips," O'Brien said, adding that China would be able to "control the world economy."

The former advisor compared the US destroying the factories to when former British Prime Minister Winston Churchill ordered the destruction of France's naval fleet during World War II after France surrendered to Germany, per Semafor.

Neither O'Brien nor TSMC immediately responded to Insider's request for comment.

Apple is TSMC's biggest customer, and the manufacturer produces most of the 1.4 billion smartphone processors in the world. Around 60% of automakers also reportedly use the chips made by the company.

Although a lot of the research and development for semiconductors happens in the US, the last 30 years saw manufacturers deciding it was best to outsource manufacturing, William Alan Reinsch, a senior advisor at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, previously told Insider.

"You build a big factory and you crank these things out by the thousands, and you do it in a low-wage, nonunion country that probably doesn't have environmental requirements," Reinsch said. "You keep all the design and IP at home and you do all your sales, marketing, and service at home, and that's where you make the money."

O'Brien is not the first to raise the idea of destroying Taiwan's semiconductor factories if China invades. Two US scholars recommended the move in a paper published by the US Army War College in 2021.

"To start, the United States and Taiwan should lay plans for a targeted scorched-earth strategy that would render Taiwan not just unattractive if ever seized by force, but positively costly to maintain," the paper said. "This could be done most effectively by threatening to destroy facilities belonging to the Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, the most important chipmaker in the world and China's most important supplier. Samsung based in South Korea (a US ally) is the only alternative for cutting-edge designs."

But Chen Ming-tong, the director-general of Taiwan's National Security Bureau, has previously said it would be unnecessary for the US to destroy Taiwan's semiconductor factories in the case of an invasion, because the system is already deeply integrated into the global supply chain, meaning that production can be shut down by the US and other countries without physically destroying the factories.

For example, TSMC wouldn't be able to produce certain chips without components from Dutch supplier ASML, Chen said. "Even if China got a hold of the golden hen, it won't be able to lay golden eggs," Chen said.

As tensions between mainland China and Taiwan continue to escalate, analysts are predicting a Chinese invasion of the island within the next few years. If China does invade Taiwan, "that would be the biggest impact we've seen to the global economy — possibly ever," Glenn O'Donnell, the vice president and research director at Forrester, previously told Insider, adding that it could be worse than the stock market crash in 1929.

来源 : business insider商业内幕
原文链接 : https://www.businessinsider.com/us-would-destroy-taiwan-semiconductor-factories-avoid-china-trump-adviser-2023-3



你各位葱油如何看待这则消息?
先是拜伯伦被爆出所谓的“摧毁台湾计划”,现在又有个前高管扔了个舆论核弹。
重点还是朝野&不同党派之间连续出现类似言论。

现在是怎样?美国内部出了内鬼走漏消息还是吃了失智老赵的口水集体降智才会在现今这种时候当猪队友?

更个 : 
似乎小弟解释的不够清楚以至于部分葱油完全无法理解小弟的担忧,
在此先致上歉意,请容许我更详细的说明。

这类言论如果是出现在战时小弟我还不担心,毕竟真的没有将身家拱手让人尤其是贼寇的道理。
可是如果是尚未开战时,出现这类言论你觉得会如何?
答案就是 : 疑美论

此前由于拜博伦的“毁灭台湾”发言已经给了第五纵队大肆炒作的素材,(虽然最后抓包爆料者是2D的奸细)
但是这次欧布莱恩的言论无疑再次成了支共网军疑美论新一轮的薪火。
我担心长久下去类似的事件持续发酵,一些媒体识读能力不足的普通人真的会开始抵触欧美国家甚至会认为支共没想象中来的拉跨这类想法。
别不相信,现在的台湾内部甚至还有大部分觉得和支共政府能在九二共识以外有商量余地的傻白甜。
0
分享 2023-03-14

25 个评论

我看党国扯蛋: 美国要毁了台湾

有一个礼拜了

美国之音有专题节目,比我总结的好, 自己动手把
>>我看党国扯蛋: 美国要毁了台湾有一个礼拜了美国之音有专题节目,比我总结的好, 自己动手把


问题是这次可不是官媒在报,
一堆英文媒体都报导了此事。
揽炒计划台湾版而已,只不过在共军围困下台湾难以亲自指挥亲自部署揽炒,所以美军代劳了。

效果参考库图佐夫烧莫斯科。
>>问题是这次可不是官媒在报,一堆英文媒体都报导了此事。


意思就是警告中国,美国不会投鼠忌器,而且这是跨党派共识。这不是很明显吗?
英雄本色 新注册用户 (待解除)
这话说得没错。
很直白。

美国不如现在就开始转移这些工厂。
sasasasasa 新注册用户 (待解除)
已隐藏
sasasasasa 新注册用户 (待解除) 回复 见惑禅师
已隐藏
身為台灣人,這完全是值得的代價
與其讓共匪染指台灣,不如把台灣炸掉
见惑禅师 回复 sasasasasa 新注册用户 (待解除)
>>business insider多假你去看看吧


具体你得给个凭证啊?哪有指控别人要人给证据的?
这个其实不用美国人下手,台湾政府如果战事吃紧,也不会把台积电完好的留给中共吧,只不过大家没有明说就是了
sasasasasa 新注册用户 (待解除) 回复 见惑禅师
已隐藏
台湾人在哪个网站评论最多?
>>这个其实不用美国人下手,台湾政府如果战事吃紧,也不会把台积电完好的留给中共吧,只不过大家没有明说就是...


那台积电自己的意愿呢?
TSMC没记错可不是台湾国企吧?
>>那台积电自己的意愿呢?TSMC没记错可不是台湾国企吧?


难道已经开打了,然后台军意外的进展不利,还要临时全民公投一下要不要把台积电完整留给台湾吗?您这算是宋襄公在世了。
见惑禅师 回复 sasasasasa 新注册用户 (待解除)
>>那个被援引消息的发帖的人我记得推特上有次都说过他就亲自恶搞的吧 🤣


链接?

觉得伸手党的话还请多多包涵。
>>难道已经开打了,然后台军意外的进展不利,还要临时全民公投一下要不要把台积电完整留给台湾吗?您这算是宋...


说的就是现在啊,
如果现在台湾政府证实会采取玉石俱焚的行为,
台积电有那个宁为玉碎不为瓦全的决心嘛?

对此在下表示真心质疑,毕竟人家本质上就是商人。
>>说的就是现在啊,如果现在台湾政府证实会采取玉石俱焚的行为,台积电有那个宁为玉碎不为瓦全的决心嘛?对此...


没明白,什么“说的就是现在”??现在还没开打呀
>>没明白,什么“说的就是现在”??现在还没开打呀


看看新编辑的文章吧。
这根本就不是问题嘛,开战之后中共自己的火力攻击就会摧毁台湾的先进半导体工厂。
在國軍的「固安計畫」裡面,炸港口、躲廠房都是計畫內。

還有更殘忍的,灘岸守備旅,裝備最差,義務役退伍大叔大概只有66火箭彈這種等級的反甲,去灘岸挖壕溝,用肉體去反甲,要先挨共軍岸轟,剩下活著的再等兩棲裝甲部隊上岸在衝上去反甲,只為了拘束,為後方志願役打擊旅爭取一點點時間來支援,把共軍鎖在台61號線外打。

死光了,再用無數戰耗梯隊上去補,志願役打擊旅都是優先戰力保存的,不會輕易送光的,在我們還沒有買佈雷車之前計劃就是這樣。

所以不要天真了,一旦打仗就是玉石俱焚,哪有輕鬆打的。
>>


还是没太看懂。人家第一句不就说了吗?


If China invades Taiwan, the US would destroy the island's semiconductor factories to avoid China from taking them over, a former national security advisor told Semafor.


说的不就是在已经开战的情况下吗?美国不可能说中国没开战,美国把台积电炸了,这不搞笑了嘛…………
這恐怕不需要美國動手,包子在對台灣動武時肯定會飽和轟炸,即使最後佔領台灣也幾近遍地焦土什麼也不剩了。
Dzhastin_Yye 新注册用户
傻的是你,美國可以信任,前提是得看政府,你看韓國的新總統尹錫悅,他壓根不相信現在的美國,因為左膠根本不會做事,所以才決定讓自己促成美日韓峰會
光看軍備採購價就知道拜登多坑台灣了,川普賣給台灣那麼多戰機和戰車才20億美元,結果一換成拜登就被抬高價格
現在的美國不值得信任,台灣是時候跟韓國和解了,即使不會建交,也應該多增進關係,並嘗試從韓國軍購,那才是實際的
rowlandheights 回复 Dzhastin_Yye 新注册用户
>>傻的是你,美國可以信任,前提是得看政府,你看韓國的新總統尹錫悅,他壓根不相信現在的美國,因為左膠根本...


要那么多坦克干啥,这就是大忽悠
沒有 ASMR 的光刻機
沒有味之素的氨基酸
空有台積電的廠房也沒用

一般認為台灣對支納粹最重要的「功能」
其實是突破第一島鏈
讓匪海軍獲得自由進出太平洋的缺口
世間再有沒有台積電支納粹不在乎

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