外交政策雜誌: 台灣可以贏得對中國的戰爭
Taiwan Can Win a War With China – Foreign Policy
比較了軍事實力和地理社會條件, 結果可以謹慎的樂觀
比較了軍事實力和地理社會條件, 結果可以謹慎的樂觀
Both Westerners and Taiwanese should be more optimistic about the defense of Taiwan than is now normal.
Yes, the Taiwanese Army projects that it can only hold off its enemy for two weeks after the landing—but the PLA also believes that if it cannot defeat the Taiwanese forces in under two weeks, it will lose the war! Yes, the disparity between the military budgets on both sides of the strait is large, and growing—but the Taiwanese do not need parity to deter Chinese aggression. All they need is the freedom to purchase the sort of arms that make invasion unthinkable. If that political battle can be resolved in the halls of Washington, the party will not have the power to threaten battle on the shores of Taiwan.