外交政策雜誌: 台灣可以贏得對中國的戰爭

Taiwan Can Win a War With China – Foreign Policy

比較了軍事實力和地理社會條件, 結果可以謹慎的樂觀

Both Westerners and Taiwanese should be more optimistic about the defense of Taiwan than is now normal.
 Yes, the Taiwanese Army projects that it can only hold off its enemy for two weeks after the landing—but the PLA also believes that if it cannot defeat the Taiwanese forces in under two weeks, it will lose the war! Yes, the disparity between the military budgets on both sides of the strait is large, and growing—but the Taiwanese do not need parity to deter Chinese aggression. All they need is the freedom to purchase the sort of arms that make invasion unthinkable. If that political battle can be resolved in the halls of Washington, the party will not have the power to threaten battle on the shores of Taiwan.
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分享 2021-04-17

4 个评论

这个结论:中共认为两个星期内如果没有击败台湾,中共就输了。

这个结论怎么得出来的?
哦哟,台湾比中共多20架战斗机啊,这么厉害。回归现实梧桐的几率有多大?我认为只有中共强大到不鸟老美的时候才有可能。
那么问题来了,两边什么时候较量下呢?都在放嘴炮。
>> 那么问题来了,两边什么时候较量下呢?都在放嘴炮。


類似的數據解放軍國防大學大概也有, 不過從來不給中國老百姓看(只給他們看環球時報), 你覺得誰更像打嘴炮?

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