如何看待习近平连任竞猜的赔率？

Welcome to PredictIt, where you can forecast the future in a few easy steps!

You make predictions by buying shares. The price of a share, between 1 and 99 cents, corresponds to the market’s estimate of the probability of an event taking place. Buy ‘Yes’ shares when the price is too low, when you think your fellow traders are underestimating this likelihood. Buy ‘No’ shares when you think they are too optimistic.

The value of your shares will change over time. You may decide to sell your shares later on, either to take some profit or stop a loss. Or, you can hold onto your shares until the market closes. At that point, if the event in the market has taken place, we’ll redeem ‘Yes’ shares at $1. If it has not, ‘No’ shares will have that $1 value instead.

Notice that some markets feature questions that have simple yes or no answers, while others have several possible outcomes. Each of these outcomes is known as a ‘contract.’